Main takeaway: Predictive markets' open interest hit $1.8B at end of June, up 54% month-on-month, driven by the FIFA World Cup. Kalshi leads in open interest and volume; Polymarket dominates political markets. Excluding sports, weekly volume was $3.1B (Kalshi $2.6B, Polymarket $0.492B). Predictive markets raised $1.85B in H1 2026, 26% of top-10 crypto funding.
币界网消息，据Cryptorank发布的2026年Q2预测市场报告，预测市场未平仓合约规模在6月底达到18亿美元，较一个月前增长54%，主要受FIFA世界杯开赛带动。报告称，Kalshi已在未平仓合约及交易量等指标上领先，Polymarket则仍在政治预测市场保持主导地位。若剔除体育市场，预测市场最新周交易量达到31亿美元，其中Kalshi为26亿美元，Polymarket为4.92亿美元。Cryptorank还表示，预测市场是2026年上半年融资额最高的加密类别，共吸引18.5亿美元，占前十大融资类别总额的26%。