Main takeaway: On Polymarket, the July 17 "yes" option for US-Iran next peace talks surged from 19.5% to 40.5% within an hour, a 21% jump. Catcher Predict notes this dramatic swing and warns of related breaking news influence.
据 Catcher Predict 监测，预测市场 Polymarket 上“美伊下一轮和平谈判”事件中，子市场“7 月 17 日”的“是”选项胜率发生剧烈波动，由 1 小时前的 19.5% 飙升至当前的 40.5%（波动幅度达 21%）。请注意相关突发消息影响。