Main takeaway: BIT analyst forecasts Bitcoin implied volatility may fall below 30% this summer, as in 2023 and 2025. They warn options premiums could lose about 30% from volatility compression and see opportunities to sell volatility while IV is near 36%.
ChainCatcher 消息，BIT 分析师表示，其对未来数周的判断之一是，比特币隐含波动率今夏可能像 2023 年和 2025 年一样跌破 30%。若这一情况出现，期权权利金可能仅因波动率压缩就损失约 30% 的价值。因此，尽管当前隐含波动率已接近 36%，其仍认为卖出波动率存在机会。